At a glance
xG race
Fair result?
Robbery · Actual result: Churchill Brothers (3.6% likely)
Each non-own-goal shot with xG is treated as an independent Bernoulli chance; own goals have no xG and are excluded.Tale of the tape
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
Referee lens
Pratik Mondal · 21 matches in FotMob's ISL record (snapshot)
Cards stayed in the pocket · This match was usual on the whistle and fewer with the cards.
Per-team split
The match served up 21.0 fouls and 2.0 yellow cards: cards stayed in the pocket.
Small sample: one match proves nothing.How we judge this
FotMob referee figures are a snapshot captured when the match was fetched, not a historical record frozen at kick-off. “Fewer”, “about usual”, and “more” use an 80% Poisson band: expected count ± 1.28 × √expected. The whistle test compares match fouls with the referee average; the pocket test scales the referee's yellow-card rate to this match's foul count.
Fan poll
Home 22% · Draw 24% · Away 54% · 1,401 votes · Actual result: Churchill Brothers
The crowd got this one wrong
Share this match
Download imageChurchill Brothers 2-1 Mumbai City FC. xG says 0.28-1.54. Fair result? Robbery. https://joyan9.github.io/isl-data/6361993.htmlAI-generated notes, may contain errors
- Churchill Brothers won 2‑1 with only 41 % possession and an expected‑goals of 0.28, proving that the quality of chances (xG) can outweigh sheer volume of play.
- Mumbai City FC held 59 % of possession and had a 1.54 expected‑goals advantage, yet their 10 shots produced just one goal – a reminder that xG shows how good the chances are, not that they will definitely score.
- Both sides had 10 total shots and one big chance each, but Churchill’s two goals came from just two inside‑box attempts, while Mumbai’s single goal came from seven inside‑box shots, underscoring efficient finishing over quantity.
- Away delivered 449 passes with 368 accurate, compared with home’s 320 passes and 244 accurate, yet Churchill registered 7 on‑target shots versus 6 for Mumbai, illustrating that passing accuracy alone doesn’t guarantee scoring.
- Mumbai City FC claimed 10 corners but scored none from them, whereas Churchill’s four corners produced a goal each, showing that more corners don’t automatically translate into goals.