At a glance
xG race
Fair result?
Could've gone either way · Actual result: Northeast United FC (23.0% likely)
Each non-own-goal shot with xG is treated as an independent Bernoulli chance; own goals have no xG and are excluded.Tale of the tape
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
Referee lens
Aditya Purkayastha · 24 matches in FotMob's ISL record (snapshot)
Business as usual · This match was usual on the whistle and usual with the cards.
Per-team split
The match served up 19.0 fouls and 4.0 yellow cards: business as usual.
Small sample: one match proves nothing.How we judge this
FotMob referee figures are a snapshot captured when the match was fetched, not a historical record frozen at kick-off. “Fewer”, “about usual”, and “more” use an 80% Poisson band: expected count ± 1.28 × √expected. The whistle test compares match fouls with the referee average; the pocket test scales the referee's yellow-card rate to this match's foul count.
Fan poll
Home 20% · Draw 43% · Away 37% · 3,824 votes · Actual result: Northeast United FC
The crowd got this one wrong
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Download imageNortheast United FC 1-0 Mohun Bagan SG. xG says 0.76-1.48. Fair result? Could've gone either way. https://joyan9.github.io/isl-data/6361994.htmlAI-generated notes, may contain errors
- Northeast United FC won 1‑0 with only 45 % possession and 9 shots, yet the goal came from a high‑quality chance (xG 0.36) that materialised – showing xG tells you about the quality of chances, not the final score.
- Mohun Bagan SG held 55 % possession and fired 25 shots, but their higher expected‑goals total (1.48 vs 0.76) did not translate into a goal, illustrating that many of those shots were low‑quality chances.
- The home team had 245 accurate passes to the visitors’ 301, a tighter passing game for them, yet the visitors still completed more passes overall (384 vs 315), indicating a more active but less efficient passing approach.
- Jithin Madathil Subran’s lone goal had an xG of 0.36, meaning roughly one in every three chances he faced turned into a goal—an example of a single high‑quality chance making a decisive difference.