Punjab FC
Messi Bouli 1' · Messi Bouli 90'
2 – 1
Odisha FC
Thoiba Moirangthem 15'
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 19:30 ISTJawaharlal Nehru StadiumRound 1HazeReferee: Jatinder Singh
At a glance
xG1.76 – 0.79
Shots (on target)17 (6) – 11 (3)
Possession
Punjab FC 54%Odisha FC 46%
Accurate passes377 – 301
xG race
Hover or use arrow keys for minute-by-minute xG.
· dashed line: away · HT: half-time
Fair result?
Fair result · Actual result: Punjab FC (65.9% likely)
Each non-own-goal shot with xG is treated as an independent Bernoulli chance; own goals have no xG and are excluded.Tale of the tape
Attack
Expected goals (xG)1.76
0.79
Total shots17
11
Shots on target6
3
Touches in opposition box28
13
Passing
Accurate passes377
301
Passes454
399
Accurate crosses8
3
Defending
Tackles16
15
Interceptions13
10
Clearances19
18
Keeper saves2
4
Discipline
Fouls committed15
5
Yellow cards2
1
Red cards0
0
Referee lens
Jatinder Singh · 11 matches in FotMob's ISL record (snapshot)
Not enough referee data
Fouls
20.0——
match · referee avg · league avg · unavailableYellow cards
3.044.53
match · referee avg · league avg · unavailableCards per foul
0.15——
match · referee avg · league avg · unavailable this match referee league
Per-team split
Punjab FCFouls 15.0Yellow cards 2.0
Odisha FCFouls 5.0Yellow cards 1.0
The match served up 20.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards: the numbers are inconclusive.
Small sample: one match proves nothing.How we judge this
FotMob referee figures are a snapshot captured when the match was fetched, not a historical record frozen at kick-off. “Fewer”, “about usual”, and “more” use an 80% Poisson band: expected count ± 1.28 × √expected. The whistle test compares match fouls with the referee average; the pocket test scales the referee's yellow-card rate to this match's foul count.
Fan poll
Home 32% · Draw 46% · Away 22% · 2,877 votes · Actual result: Punjab FC
The crowd got this one wrong
Share this match
Download imagePunjab FC 2-1 Odisha FC. xG says 1.76-0.79. Fair result? Fair result. https://joyan9.github.io/isl-data/6361995.htmlAI-generated notes, may contain errors
- Punjab FC won 2‑1, out‑scoring Odisha's 0.79 xG with 2 goals while Odisha out‑shot Punjab 11‑17 but still scored only once; Punjab's 1.76 xG shows their chances were of higher quality.
- Home possession sat at 54 % versus Odisha's 46 %, yet Punjab landed 8 accurate passes out of 454 total and created 2 big chances, whereas Odisha had 301 accurate passes out of 399 and only 1 big chance, highlighting the quality‑not‑quantity difference.
- Messi Bouli was the star for Punjab, firing 4 shots (xG 0.84) and netting both goals (xG‑got 3.18) – a 2.4‑xG swing above the team's total 1.76, proving his shots were worth more than the average chance.
- Odisha's lone goal came in the 15th minute from Thoiba Moirangthem, who had only a single shot (xG 0.08) and yet managed to score, showing that a single well‑placed chance can still tilt the result.