SC Delhi
Lalrinliana Hnamte 23'
1 – 2
Mohun Bagan SG
Lee Erwin 56' · Miguel Figueira 60'
Fri 16 Oct 2026 · 19:30 ISTJawaharlal Nehru StadiumRound 1FogReferee: Jehrul Islam
At a glance
xG1.12 – 1.76
Shots (on target)15 (4) – 20 (10)
Possession
SC Delhi 49%Mohun Bagan SG 51%
Accurate passes372 – 381
xG race
Hover or use arrow keys for minute-by-minute xG.
· dashed line: away · HT: half-time
Fair result?
Could've gone either way · Actual result: Mohun Bagan SG (44.7% likely)
Each non-own-goal shot with xG is treated as an independent Bernoulli chance; own goals have no xG and are excluded.Tale of the tape
Attack
Expected goals (xG)1.12
1.76
Total shots15
20
Shots on target4
10
Touches in opposition box16
32
Passing
Accurate passes372
381
Passes472
485
Accurate crosses0
6
Defending
Tackles17
14
Interceptions11
7
Clearances23
16
Keeper saves8
3
Discipline
Fouls committed14
7
Yellow cards2
4
Red cards0
0
Referee lens
Jehrul Islam · 7 matches in FotMob's ISL record (snapshot)
Business as usual · This match was usual on the whistle and usual with the cards.
Fouls
21.021.5720.58
match · referee avg · league avg · usualYellow cards
6.044.19
match · referee avg · league avg · usualCards per foul
0.290.190.2
match · referee avg · league avg · usual this match referee league
Per-team split
SC DelhiFouls 14.0Yellow cards 2.0
Mohun Bagan SGFouls 7.0Yellow cards 4.0
The match served up 21.0 fouls and 6.0 yellow cards: business as usual.
Small sample: one match proves nothing.How we judge this
FotMob referee figures are a snapshot captured when the match was fetched, not a historical record frozen at kick-off. “Fewer”, “about usual”, and “more” use an 80% Poisson band: expected count ± 1.28 × √expected. The whistle test compares match fouls with the referee average; the pocket test scales the referee's yellow-card rate to this match's foul count.
Fan poll
Home 22% · Draw 42% · Away 36% · 2,956 votes · Actual result: Mohun Bagan SG
The crowd got this one wrong
Share this match
Download imageSC Delhi 1-2 Mohun Bagan SG. xG says 1.12-1.76. Fair result? Could've gone either way. https://joyan9.github.io/isl-data/6361996.htmlAI-generated notes, may contain errors
- The final 1‑2 scoreline matched the xG story: Mohun Bagan’s 1.76 expected goals were almost exactly what they turned into, while Delhi’s 1.12 xG produced a single goal – a simple illustration that xG is a measure of chance quality, not a crystal‑ball predictor.
- Delhi fired 15 shots (9 on target) for 1 goal; Mohun Bagan hit the woodwork 20 times (11 on target) and scored twice – a shooting efficiency of 6.7% for Delhi versus 10% for the visitors, showing that a higher shot tally does not automatically translate into goals.
- Possession was almost even (49% vs 51%) but the gap widened in corners (1 vs 5) and accurate crosses (0 vs 6), hinting that the extra set‑piece and crossing output helped Mohun Bagan convert their 1.76 xG into a 2‑goal haul.
- Key performers: Lalrinliana Hnamte (3 shots, 1 goal, 0.71 xG) gave Delhi its sole point; Lee Erwin (6 shots, 1 goal, 0.67 xG) and Miguel Figueira (4 shots, 1 goal, 0.26 xG) each converted their chances to secure the win.