At a glance
xG race
Fair result?
Could've gone either way · Actual result: Northeast United FC (43.1% likely)
Each non-own-goal shot with xG is treated as an independent Bernoulli chance; own goals have no xG and are excluded.Tale of the tape
Attack
Passing
Defending
Discipline
Referee lens
Pratik Mondal · 22 matches in FotMob's ISL record (snapshot)
Business as usual · This match was usual on the whistle and usual with the cards.
Per-team split
The match served up 15.0 fouls and 3.0 yellow cards: business as usual.
Small sample: one match proves nothing.How we judge this
FotMob referee figures are a snapshot captured when the match was fetched, not a historical record frozen at kick-off. “Fewer”, “about usual”, and “more” use an 80% Poisson band: expected count ± 1.28 × √expected. The whistle test compares match fouls with the referee average; the pocket test scales the referee's yellow-card rate to this match's foul count.
Fan poll
Home 12% · Draw 13% · Away 75% · 1,874 votes · Actual result: Northeast United FC
The crowd got this one wrong
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Download imageNortheast United FC 4-1 Kerala Blasters FC. xG says 1.40-0.62. Fair result? Could've gone either way. https://joyan9.github.io/isl-data/6362000.htmlAI-generated notes, may contain errors
- NEU scored 4 goals from 19 shots, 14 on target, yet their expected‑goals (xG) was only 1.4, meaning the team made many high‑quality chances that still outperformed Kerala Blasters’ 0.62 xG from 12 shots with just 4 on target.
- Kerala Blasters held 53 % of possession but made 421 passes, while NEU had 47 % possession and 379 passes; nevertheless NEU created 2 big chances and 2 goals, showing that more passes and possession do not guarantee more quality chances.
- Ajaraie’s 2 goals came from 5 shots and 1 assist, earning him a 9.19 rating, yet the team’s total xG (1.4) was far below the 4 goals scored, highlighting that xG measures chance quality, not the final result.
- NEU’s defense recorded 25 clearances, 9 interceptions, and 10 tackles, whereas Blasters logged 29 clearances, 8 interceptions, and 14 tackles; still NEU allowed 15 shots inside the box compared with 7 for Blasters, explaining the scoring gap.